Odds for hand sequence
Posted: Thu May 10, 2018 11:50 pm
I was at Harrahs last week, and had a wierd
win streak. I want to know the "odds" of this happening
I was playing $1 Double Double bonus poker $5 per hand, after 15 minutes, I hit 4A with kicker (2 card draw) for $2000. 5 minutes later I hit another Natural 4A with kicker for $2000. 15 minutes later I hit another 4A with kicker (2 card draw).
I estimate I played for 1 hour for this session. I am an experienced VP player, and play pretty fast. Other
sites say a reasonable fast player plays 600 hands per hour. I estimate I played 500 hands in this session.
Note that these were hand pay, so I was not playing while waiting for attendant.
So my question is: What are the odds of hitting 4A/k three times in 500 hands?
I have done some reading and found that 4A/k occures approximatly once every 16,000 hands, so I am
calling this 16,000 to 1 odds to get 4A/k on one play.
Since I played 500 hands, I say the odds of hitting one 4A/K in this session is 16,000/500 = 32 to 1
Since I hit three of them, I say the odds are 3*32 = 96 to 1
Does this make sense to anyone? It seems low to me.
win streak. I want to know the "odds" of this happening
I was playing $1 Double Double bonus poker $5 per hand, after 15 minutes, I hit 4A with kicker (2 card draw) for $2000. 5 minutes later I hit another Natural 4A with kicker for $2000. 15 minutes later I hit another 4A with kicker (2 card draw).
I estimate I played for 1 hour for this session. I am an experienced VP player, and play pretty fast. Other
sites say a reasonable fast player plays 600 hands per hour. I estimate I played 500 hands in this session.
Note that these were hand pay, so I was not playing while waiting for attendant.
So my question is: What are the odds of hitting 4A/k three times in 500 hands?
I have done some reading and found that 4A/k occures approximatly once every 16,000 hands, so I am
calling this 16,000 to 1 odds to get 4A/k on one play.
Since I played 500 hands, I say the odds of hitting one 4A/K in this session is 16,000/500 = 32 to 1
Since I hit three of them, I say the odds are 3*32 = 96 to 1
Does this make sense to anyone? It seems low to me.