Crazy Luck Continues

The lighter side... playing for entertainment, less concerned about "the math."
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olds442jetaway
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Re: Crazy Luck Continues

Post by olds442jetaway »

Its a very short run, but the last 5 sessions I have been playing dollars 1 hour, quarters 4 hours, and nickels 3 hours. The dollar and quarter games are 99 percent or better. The nickel games are 95 to 96 percent games. Its only 40 hours of play total, but dollar return is only 92 percent. Quarter 96 percent, and nickel 103 percent. I think there is a reason though.....I am more aggressive on the nickel games with the Martingale Clone method and the most conservative on the dollars which are almost flat betted. Quarters are mixture of flat and clone.
   The Martingale in the long run as most know usually gives small short term wins then you get clobbered when you max out your bet and eventually lose. However, if this pattern continues, and maxing out my nickel bet is only 2 bucks a hand, the damage maxing out at nickels will be less than flat betting quarters or dollars. Luckily, the nickel machines I play when I do play them allow bets of up to 40 nickels on a single line game.
     I can play 5 nickels on bonus deuces and not up my bet until I have a net loss of 200 hands or so, then being that I can bet up to 40 at a time if I really want to, I only need a couple of nice hands to make up for the ones lost at bet 5. I used to play this way many years ago when I first started playing vp and never lost more than 200 bucks in a session and had session wins in the hundreds sometimes. I dumped it due to the usual greed thinking I could afford to play that way on quarters or even dollars. Big mistake.
     The other day I had 35 consecutive dud hands playing nickels on bonus deuces. The next 3 hands were back to back wild royals and a straight flush. Thats just how vp is. The 35 dud hands at bet 5 cost less than 9 bucks. A nice little profit followed until I blew it on quarters.

FloridaPhil
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Post by FloridaPhil »



































I personally don't believe there is a "100% guaranteed to win" VP strategy.  I have no problem with players who do.  Faith is a powerful force.   I have never seen anything that can force the game to produce jackpots.   They happen when they want to. Playing single coin is like putting training wheels on a VP machine.  I did it because I was fixated on limiting losses.  It does, but it limits wins as well.   My profit over those two years came from lucky pot shots.  When you are playing 90% of your hands at 25 cents a hand and hit three $1,000 single coin quad deuce jackpots, it puts you ahead for a long time.   I don't recommend playing single coin unless you have a very limited budget and a high tolerance for disappointment.The casino has many advantages over us.  The biggest advantage we have as players is choosing when to cash out.   Training yourself to walk out a winner is difficult but not impossible.   You won't always win, but most players will do much better than playing until their money is gone.To me, video poker is a game where you do battle against the machines on a daily basis.  The big advantage of playing quarters is I can enjoy playing the game without hurting myself.   If I lose $500 in an afternoon, it's not going to change my lifestyle.  For the first time in a long time, I'm winning and it feels good.  


































Carcounter
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Post by Carcounter »

No crazy luck for me last Friday at Borgata. Played the 9/6 JOB multi-strikes for about 2-2&1/2 hrs. One quad on the bottom line, nothing else. Lost 1k, but luckily still up a good amount for the year due to 2 Feburary royals for 6k. Last year, almost the same thing early in the year, 6k worth of royals, then none for the rest of the year so wound up down 2k. Have a better feeling about this year, but who knows?

Carcounter
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Post by Carcounter »

As Ray Liotta said in Goodfellas,Everyone has to take a beating every now and then

FAA
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Post by FAA »

Car, I was also a dazed 9/6 loser on Saturday. Single line 2.5 hours, -$320. Zero quads on $4,800 coin in, about three quad cycles for me. No 2017 or 2018 RFs to fall back on.

stevel96a1
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Post by stevel96a1 »

i find what Phil says powerful and insightful Video poker is a game where one hand out of 40,000 determines who wins
long term.  No amount of number crunching will make that hand appear any
more or less frequently while you are playing the game.  Hit more
premium hands, you win.  If it doesn't happen or you die before it does,
you lose.we all hear and read stories where people gamble for a living and making X amount of cash per year or per decade whichever means of advantage play or luckbut its so very true can not force a royal that would not be video poker and if it would then you are cheating or found a glitch in the machine, all we can do is go in and hope for a good sessions and good year overall and hope for the best

billryan
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Post by billryan »

i find what Phil says powerful and insightful Video poker is a game where one hand out of 40,000 determines who wins
long term.  No amount of number crunching will make that hand appear any
more or less frequently while you are playing the game.  Hit more
premium hands, you win.  If it doesn't happen or you die before it does,
you lose.we all hear and read stories where people gamble for a living and making X amount of cash per year or per decade whichever means of advantage play or luckbut its so very true can not force a royal that would not be video poker and if it would then you are cheating or found a glitch in the machine, all we can do is go in and hope for a good sessions and good year overall and hope for the best

Do you think APs hang around casinos all day ,awaiting a Royal Flush? A RF is the cherry on top of a five scoop, three topping sundae. Get over this obsession with royal flushmania and stop listening to fools who change their strategy as often as they change their socks.


Carcounter
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Post by Carcounter »

Years ago, there were vp games that you could get a nice advantage on without the royal. Read some of Mickey Crimm’s history from maybe 10 years or more ago. Don’t think any of those opportunities exist anymore.

FloridaPhil
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Post by FloridaPhil »


[quote=billryan]Do you think APs hang around casinos all day ,awaiting a Royal Flush? A
RF is the cherry on top of a five scoop, three topping sundae.[/quote]In 9/6 Jacks or Better a royal flush is 1.167% of the return.  What is it about being an AP that makes royals insignificant?  Am I missing something here? 

Jstark
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Post by Jstark »

Years ago, there were vp games that you could get a nice advantage on without the royal. Read some of Mickey Crimm’s history from maybe 10 years or more ago. Don’t think any of those opportunities exist anymore.
Vulturable games.

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