Finally a little old spice cologne, I mean clone

[olds442jetaway]

Stupid siri.... it’s Ropa dope

[FAA]

Yes, on my way. For clarity, $100 is an hourly loss when cold. A $250 quad on ten would cover two trips of losses. I’m restaurant hopping this month with my deal pass, so VP may be limited.

[olds442jetaway]

One might ask why does the Martingale clone work for me most of the time? I think the main reason is this. In eight hours of play the probability as you get toward the sixth seventh or eighth hour of hitting for example four deuces increases greatly especially after 4000 or 5000 hands have been played. Granted, every hand is the independent. However, the probability of hitting four deuces is much stronger after eight hours of play then it is after playing one hand. As long as one bets enough to cover most of the bets they have made up until that point and hits four deuces or a hand even better than that like a royal, or four deuces with an ace, you’ll be in great shape. The downside is a substantial bankroll is needed to accomplish that and there are no guarantees either way.

[FAA]

Sounds about right. My trips have become quite boring. Mildly profitable, but like watching grass grow. I must conquer my fears and raise my stakes. Fifty buck quad is a real yawner.

[tech58]

For about six months i have been hitting a very good number of quads and an occasional SF with long streaks of garbage in between.
Same streakiness that Wildman has noticed (same casino) something has changed.

[onemoretry]

In eight hours of play the probability as you get toward the sixth seventh or eighth hour of hitting for example four deuces increases greatly especially after 4000 or 5000 hands have been played.

This thinking is, quite simply, incorrect. If you have played 4999 hands without hitting deuces, the probability that you will go 5000 is pretty high. The probability of hitting deuces on the next hand does not change.

[Tedlark]

In eight hours of play the probability as you get toward the sixth seventh or eighth hour of hitting for example four deuces increases greatly especially after 4000 or 5000 hands have been played.

This thinking is, quite simply, incorrect. If you have played 4999 hands without hitting deuces, the probability that you will go 5000 is pretty high. The probability of hitting deuces on the next hand does not change.

I agree OMT. Last weekend playing in Lawrenceburg, IN I hit 2 royals within a span of 1 hour. Statistically I should not have hit the second royal for quite some time but it happened. Both royals were on the same machine and there are those here who would have left the machine after hitting the first royal and thiat line of thinking is flawed too.

[FAA]

Statistically, you’re the luckiest player on the site.

[olds442jetaway]

I agree as far as the odds go, but the probability of hitting 4 deuces after playing 5000 hands is still much higher than on just one hand I don’t nean on the very next hand, but somewhere between 0 and 5000 hands, you are much more likely to have hit than playing just one hand. Like I said no guarantees. Two different animals odds and probabilities They have been discussed many times before.

[olds442jetaway]

In other words, it is much more likely that you will have hit 4 deuces after playing 5,000 hands than if you have just played one hand that is all that I am saying. On your very next deal though, yes the odds of hitting are the sane no matter how many hands you have played.