The lighter side... playing for entertainment, less concerned about "the math."
			
		
		
			
				
																			
								wildman49 							 
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								by wildman49   »  Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:10 am 
			
			
			
			
			I been playing a whole lot of NSUD as of late. Yesterday played 5700 hands. I had 3 deuces off the deal 11 times. I bricked on every redraw. What is the odds of missing that many times? I know there are some of you out there with good math skills.
I love the game but yesterday was very very frustrating!   
Took a pretty bad beating.  
 
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								Player422738 							 
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								by Player422738   »  Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:25 am 
			
			
			
			
			Well it’s 1 in 23.5 to get a quad deuce if u are dealt with 3 deuces. The chance of failing 11 times without  a quad deuce is about 62%. 
 
This happens to me when I am dealt with many 3 aces on TDB...but good luck!
			
			
													
					Last edited by 
Player422738  on Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
									
 
			
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								onemoretry 							 
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								by onemoretry   »  Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:25 am 
			
			
			
			
			I make it about a 62% likelihood of going 11 trip draws in a row without hitting the quad.  It's not really a long shot, at all. 
 
If it makes you feel any better (probably it won't), I've gone 10 consecutive draws to trips playing 10 line JOB without getting a quad.
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								onemoretry 							 
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								by onemoretry   »  Mon Jan 13, 2020 7:27 am 
			
			
			
			
			Whoops!  The post from hophoofer came in while I was posting mine.
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								olds442jetaway 							 
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								by olds442jetaway   »  Mon Jan 13, 2020 8:23 am 
			
			
			
			
			Wildman, that has been happening to me too. Even worse, I am playing Bonus Deuces and when I need the last Ace for 5 Aces, I just can’t seem to land it. Even a deuce or Ace would complete the hand. Anyway, good luck. Things have been so cold at my 2 Ct casinos, I have been playing nickels. I probably should just stick with them, but I know eventually, I won’t.
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								advantage playe 							 
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								by advantage playe   »  Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:20 am 
			
			
			
			
			as hop pointed out , its 23.5 to 1 against. 11 tries and missing is only about 2 to 1 ! why is that so unusual? !!! ????
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								onemoretry 							 
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								by onemoretry   »  Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:04 am 
			
			
			
			
			advantage playe  wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:20 am
as hop pointed out , its 23.5 to 1 against. 
I know I'm being "picky" here, but, one in 23.5 is actually 22.5 against.
 
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								Player422738 							 
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								by Player422738   »  Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:35 am 
			
			
			
			
			onemoretry  wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:04 am
 
advantage playe  wrote: ↑ Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:20 am
as hop pointed out , its 23.5 to 1 against. 
I know I'm being "picky" here, but, one in 23.5 is actually 22.5 against.
Yes, either 22.5 to 1 or 23.5 for 1, I guess.
2/47 is better notation.
 
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								advantage playe 							 
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								by advantage playe   »  Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:13 am 
			
			
			
			
			hey onemore I said 11 tries !!! so please read before judgement !!!!!!!
			
			
									
									
						 
		 
				
		
		 
	 
	 
				
		
		
			
				
																			
								advantage playe 							 
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								by advantage playe   »  Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:15 am 
			
			
			
			
			if only one time yes 23.5 to 1 , given 11 attemps   apx. 2 to 1 !