Hmmm..not very likely

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jm002546
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Posts: 398
Joined: Tue Oct 02, 2007 9:13 am

Hmmm..not very likely

Post by jm002546 »


  Tried the new contest - deuces wild, since that is the only thing I play.Early on I held 55.  On the 300 card draw, I drew 34 5's, which is amazing.Even more amazing, I don't think I drew a single wild.  I checked several times to make sure there were no 2's. I have to admit I wasn't looking for W's, but I think I would have noticed them because I had to look at every hand a couple more times to count 5's. I can only assume the RNG was sleeping when that hand was played.  

Webman
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Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:11 pm

Post by Webman »

What's not very likely? 

okie dokie
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Post by okie dokie »

On the flip side... it could 'possible'?!?!?!

jm002546
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Post by jm002546 »

Added message back

New2vp
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Post by New2vp »



  Tried the new contest - deuces wild, since that is the only thing I play.Early on I held 55.  On the 300 card draw, I drew 34 5's, which is amazing.Even more amazing, I don't think I drew a single wild.  I checked several times to make sure there were no 2's. I have to admit I wasn't looking for W's, but I think I would have noticed them because I had to look at every hand a couple more times to count 5's. I can only assume the RNG was sleeping when that hand was played.   Hey jm, It's too bad you didn't keep a screen-shot.  As you say, unless there was a computer or RNG malfunction, assuming you counted the drawn 5s correctly and didn't re-count any of the two 5's that were held in each hand, we would expect between 12 and 13 drawn 5s.  Thirty-four is more than 6 standard deviations from expected, so the odds of an observation that extreme is about 1.5 Billion to 1 (using a couple standard approximation techniques).And making the common sense assumption that you didn't throw away any deuces, the odds of getting no deuces on any of the hands is about 720 Billion to 1.  As you mentioned, the computer represents these on the small hands as W, not 2.On the other hand, the expected number of both 2's and 5's is about 38, which is close to what you saw.If everything is working correctly, You can expect around 70,000 dealt royal flushes WITH a multiplier for every time you draw 3 cards holding non-deuces and receive 0 deuces in all 100 hands.  Hope you get at least one of the those dealt royals before the contest is over. 

Webman
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Post by Webman »

Yes, a screen capture would have made it possible to evaluate this more accurately. Otherwise there are a lot of unknowns here, unfortunately.

jm002546
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Joined: Tue Oct 02, 2007 9:13 am

Post by jm002546 »

  I'm no computer genius but I did try to highlight and copy. Could nothighlight. Yes, I wanted to show the screen. I counted the 5's CAREFULLY.Had 27 trips, 3 FH, 2 4K.  So, I had to find the FH's to see if additional 5 included. Looked for wild cards several times because their scarcity wasobvious. But I will admit I was looking for 2's. That's why I originally deleted the post. Then I realized that I should have noticed the W's. I only really played 1 time and not that many hands. Can you trace back to that?  

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