A royal in the monthly
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				edog743
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 1139
 - Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 4:38 pm
 
A royal in the monthly
What is the longest you have gone without a royal in the monthly? Currently I have not gotten one in twenty five and a half months. Does that seem a bit long? It does to me. Of course Webman does not think so.
			
			
									
									
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				Onenickelmiracl
 - Senior Member
 - Posts: 332
 - Joined: Fri Oct 12, 2012 8:43 am
 
30 days. Almost 400,000 hands seems long enough for you I think to be unlucky, very unlucky.
			
			
									
									
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				Webman
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 5203
 - Joined: Wed Jul 13, 2005 5:00 pm
 
Definitely too long. In fairness, you didn't play all the way through all of those months since you gave up early at times.  But still, it's a very, very impressive streak given the odds.
			
			
									
									
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				edog743
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 1139
 - Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 4:38 pm
 
I agree sir but when it takes at least three if not four to win a monthly I probably should have given up a lot sooner than I did most if not all months.
			
			
									
									
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				edog743
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 1139
 - Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 4:38 pm
 
I guess I do not see what or why such a streak would be impressive. Maybe I am not impressed because it is happening to me.
			
			
									
									
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				Vman96
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 3298
 - Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:49 am
 
25 and half months doesn't mean much.  I went 35 months in a row at the casino, but it wasn't unreasonable based on the number of hands I played. We really need to know the number of hands played.
Now if you played 400,000 hands like onenickelmiracl proposed (rough number of a 25.5 month streak if you play the max hands of monthly contest per month), then yeah that sucks. The odds of not getting a royal in 400k hands is roughly (39999/40000)^400,000 = 0.000045394255 or 1 in 22,029.
But if you didn't complete all the months and say you only played 300,000 hands, then the chances are over ten times more likely at 1 in 1808. Either way, quite unlucky. But the good news is...you didn't have that streak in the casino!
I have the opposite problem here. I run great in contests here, but not great enough to win money.
			
			
									
									
						Now if you played 400,000 hands like onenickelmiracl proposed (rough number of a 25.5 month streak if you play the max hands of monthly contest per month), then yeah that sucks. The odds of not getting a royal in 400k hands is roughly (39999/40000)^400,000 = 0.000045394255 or 1 in 22,029.
But if you didn't complete all the months and say you only played 300,000 hands, then the chances are over ten times more likely at 1 in 1808. Either way, quite unlucky. But the good news is...you didn't have that streak in the casino!
I have the opposite problem here. I run great in contests here, but not great enough to win money.
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				edog743
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 1139
 - Joined: Mon Nov 29, 2010 4:38 pm
 
Like all things this had to come to an end. I got a royal in hearts about ten minutes ago. I almost fell off of my seat.
			
			
									
									
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				Come Back Kid
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 1426
 - Joined: Mon Feb 06, 2012 9:00 am
 
WTG Edog!!!!  Finally...Congrats!   
			
			
									
									
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				Galeygoo
 - VP Veteran
 - Posts: 773
 - Joined: Thu Sep 03, 2009 10:40 am
 
Finally is RIGHT!! I hope you start a new streak of many royals, Dog.
			
			
									
									
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				olds442jetaway
 - Video Poker Master
 - Posts: 11284
 - Joined: Tue Aug 21, 2007 9:08 pm
 
WTG EDOG  I think their system heard you complaining..  just to put things in perspective, you may remember I have had two Royalless streaks for real of over 600k hands each and am on another one now of over 200k hands. I wish I could play the contests here, but my DSL connection and the ads just won't let me play smoothly on the site here.
			
			
									
									
						


                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        





                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        
                        

                          
                          
                          
                          













